If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Or stalk me (with love.). They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Step 4. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Do you know the odds of being alive? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Which ones bigger? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Thats 150,000 generations. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. On one try. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. On one try. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. You can start the series by clicking HERE. This button displays the currently selected search type. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Are they gross exaggerations? The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. But let's think about this some more. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Why? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. But lets think about this some more. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. That's 150,000 generations. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Yet here we are. Even if they couldn't read them yet. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? You get the volume of planet Earth. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. But let's think about this some more. Thats going to take a LONG time. Step 2. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You have lived your life. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. So far, so good. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . xx, Lets be social! Step 1. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Step 1. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. A lovely day to you. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. What are the odds of that? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. You may think You say that to everyone!. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell